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How Michigan football can make Big Ten Championship Game vs. Indiana, Oregon, and Ohio State

Michigan needs to beat Ohio State to have chance at Big Ten title

COLLEGE PARK, MARYLAND - NOVEMBER 22: Derrick Moore #8 of the Michigan Wolverines celebrates with teammates after a fourth down stop in the third quarter against the Maryland Terrapins at SECU Stadium on November 22, 2025 in College Park, Maryland. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images) (Greg Fiume, 2025 Getty Images)

ANN ARBOR, Mich. – Michigan football is still alive for the Big Ten Championship Game, and there are three specific scenarios that could end with the Wolverines playing Indiana, Oregon, or Ohio State.

No matter what happens around the country, Michigan is eliminated from Big Ten title game and College Football Playoff contention if it loses to Ohio State this weekend.

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Even though the game is in Ann Arbor, the Wolverines are double-digit underdogs against the undefeated defending national champions.

Michigan is looking for its fifth-straight win against Ohio State. The Buckeyes haven’t beaten the Wolverines in 2,186 days -- but who’s counting?

A win over Ohio State would likely put Michigan back in the College Football Playoff for the fourth time in five years, but it wouldn’t necessarily guarantee a Big Ten title berth. In fact, it’s very unlikely the Wolverines end up in Indianapolis next weekend.

Here are the three scenarios that would get Michigan into the game:

Michigan vs. Indiana

Michigan would play Indiana in the Big Ten Championship Game if the following results happen this weekend:

  • Michigan beats Ohio State
  • Indiana beats Purdue
  • Washington beats Oregon

The Wolverines are a 10-point underdog and Oregon is favored by a touchdown at Washington, so it would take two significant upsets for this to play out.

Michigan vs. Oregon

For Michigan to play Oregon in the Big Ten title game, here’s what would have to happen on Friday and Saturday:

  • Michigan beats Ohio State
  • Oregon beats Washington
  • Purdue beats Indiana

If Purdue beats Indiana on Friday night as a four-touchdown underdog, then anything in the world is possible and we should all play the lottery.

Michigan vs. Ohio State

This is by far the least likely scenario because it would require three major upsets:

  • Michigan beats Ohio State
  • Washington beats Oregon
  • Purdue beats Indiana

College football is wild, but this would be another level of chaos entirely.


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